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Justin Herbert Fantasy Outlook 2024: Value, Projections, Stats and ADP

August 3, 2024 by Chargers Wire

Last year, the Los Angeles Chargers’ Justin Herbert was 17th among all NFL quarterbacks in fantasy points, with 233.2. Going into 2024, he is the 16th-ranked fantasy player at his position (by average draft position). For more stats and fantasy projections on him, keep reading.

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Justin Herbert: 2024 projection and ADP

  • 2023 Fantasy Points: 233.2 (Overall rank: 21; Position rank: 17)
  • 2024 Projected Fantasy Points: 264.89 (Overall rank: 17; Position rank: 16)
  • ADP: Overall rank – 114; Position rank – 16

QB ADP NFL Rankings

  • 1 – Josh Allen (Bills): ADP: 21 | Projected Points: 340.86
  • 2 – Jalen Hurts (Eagles): ADP: 25 | Projected Points: 340.84
  • 3 – Lamar Jackson (Ravens): ADP: 31 | Projected Points: 313.89
  • 4 – Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs): ADP: 39 | Projected Points: 322.94
  • 5 – C.J. Stroud (Texans): ADP: 46 | Projected Points: 302.20
  • 6 – Anthony Richardson (Colts): ADP: 52 | Projected Points: 294.91
  • 7 – Kyler Murray (Cardinals): ADP: 62 | Projected Points: 282.75
  • 8 – Jordan Love (Packers): ADP: 63 | Projected Points: 287.31
  • 9 – Joe Burrow (Bengals): ADP: 65 | Projected Points: 292.06
  • 10 – Dak Prescott (Cowboys): ADP: 73 | Projected Points: 297.25
  • 16 – Justin Herbert (Chargers): ADP: 114 | Projected Points: 264.89

Herbert’s 2023 stat insights

  • With 3,134 yards on 456 pass attempts, Herbert was 20th in the NFL with 6.9 yards per attempt last season.
  • He ranked among the league leaders with 35.1 passing attempts per game, seventh in the NFL.
  • Herbert completed 22.8 passes per game last season, seventh in the league.
  • He racked up 17 yards after the catch last year, 403rd among NFL pass-catchers.
  • Herbert racked up 1,571 air yards on completed passes last year, 20th in the NFL.
  • He racked up 4.4 yards per carry (228 yards on 52 attempts) last year.
  • Last year Herbert gained 10.0 yards per reception.
  • He was targeted on one pass attempt last year, averaging 10.0 yards per target.
  • Herbert stayed on his feet for 53 rushing yards after contact last season.

Herbert’s best/worst 2023 fantasy performances

  • Herbert accumulated 29.3 fantasy points — 40-of-47 (85.1%), 405 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs — in Week 3 versus the Minnesota Vikings, which was his best game last season.
  • In another good fantasy showing last year, Herbert finished with 28.4 points — 27-of-40 (67.5%), 323 yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT in Week 10 against the Detroit Lions.
  • In his worst game of the season — Week 14 versus the Denver Broncos — Herbert finished with 1.8 fantasy points. His stat line was: 9-of-17 (52.9%), 96 yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT.
  • In his second-worst game of the season (Week 9 versus the New York Jets), Herbert finished with 7.1 fantasy points — 16-of-30 (53.3%), 136 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs.

Herbert’s 2023 fantasy game log

  • Week 1 vs. Dolphins – 20.9 Fantasy Points: 23-for-33 (69.7%), 229 YDS (6.9 YPA), 1 TD, 0 INT, 5 CAR, 17 RUSH YDS, 1 RUSH TD
  • Week 2 at Titans – 22.2 Fantasy Points: 27-for-41 (65.9%), 305 YDS (7.4 YPA), 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 CAR, 0 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 3 at Vikings – 29.3 Fantasy Points: 40-for-47 (85.1%), 405 YDS (8.6 YPA), 3 TD, 0 INT, 2 CAR, 11 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 4 vs. Raiders – 23.4 Fantasy Points: 13-for-24 (54.2%), 167 YDS (7.0 YPA), 1 TD, 1 INT, 12 CAR, 27 RUSH YDS, 2 RUSH TD
  • Week 6 vs. Cowboys – 18.1 Fantasy Points: 22-for-37 (59.5%), 227 YDS (6.1 YPA), 2 TD, 1 INT, 6 CAR, 20 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 7 at Chiefs – 10.9 Fantasy Points: 17-for-30 (56.7%), 259 YDS (8.6 YPA), 1 TD, 2 INT, 2 CAR, 5 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 8 vs. Bears – 24.0 Fantasy Points: 31-for-40 (77.5%), 298 YDS (7.5 YPA), 3 TD, 0 INT, 1 CAR, 1 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 9 at Jets – 7.1 Fantasy Points: 16-for-30 (53.3%), 136 YDS (4.5 YPA), 0 TD, 0 INT, 3 CAR, 17 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 10 vs. Lions – 28.4 Fantasy Points: 27-for-40 (67.5%), 323 YDS (8.1 YPA), 4 TD, 1 INT, 4 CAR, 15 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 11 at Packers – 25.7 Fantasy Points: 21-for-36 (58.3%), 260 YDS (7.2 YPA), 2 TD, 0 INT, 8 CAR, 73 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 12 vs. Ravens – 13.4 Fantasy Points: 29-for-44 (65.9%), 217 YDS (4.9 YPA), 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 CAR, 47 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 13 at Patriots – 8.0 Fantasy Points: 22-for-37 (59.5%), 212 YDS (5.7 YPA), 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 CAR, -5 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD
  • Week 14 vs. Broncos – 1.8 Fantasy Points: 9-for-17 (52.9%), 96 YDS (5.6 YPA), 0 TD, 1 INT, 0 CAR, 0 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD

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